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2024-12-13 04:29:32

Japanese and Korean stock markets opened higher, with the Nikkei 225 index rising 0.55% to 39,375.49 points. South Korea's KOSPI index rose 1% to 2,384.51 points.Yonhap News Agency: South Korea's defense intelligence commander was suspended.CICC: The non-agricultural data in November supported the Fed to continue to cut interest rates. The CICC research report pointed out that after being seriously hindered by hurricanes and strikes, the number of new jobs in the United States rose sharply to 227,000 in November, but the unemployment rate also rose to 4.2%, indicating that the labor market is slowing down. On the whole, the labor market is still in a state of "the momentum of employment growth is weakening, but the job market itself is not weak", which will provide reasons for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates again in December. However, we also predict that the Fed will slow down the pace of interest rate cuts in 2025, because as interest rates approach the neutral level, policymakers will become more cautious. One prediction risk is the impact of Trump's immigration policy on the labor market. At present, we tend to have a moderate impact, but we also need to pay close attention to the possibility of extreme situations. Based on non-agricultural data, we believe that the Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points again this month.


Macquarie: Raise the forecast of USD/JPY to 140 JPY by the end of 2025 from 125 JPY.Xiaoyu Zhizao, Xiaomi's first furniture model company, completed a round of financing of 100 million yuan, and Beijing Xiaoyu Zhizao Technology Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as Xiaoyu Zhizao), the first large model robot company invested by Xiaomi, completed a round of financing of 100 million yuan. This round of financing is exclusively invested by Beijing Information Industry Development Investment Fund. This is the second time that Xiaoyu Zhizao has received billion-dollar financing after Angel Wheel received billion-dollar investment from Xiaomi Group, Professor Wang Tianmiao and Beijing Zhiyuan Research Institute. Xiaoyu Zhizao was founded by the core founding team of Xiaomi Group in 2023, focusing on the development of large-scale model robot technology suitable for industrial fields, and has developed the "Xiaoyu Brain" universal robot brain, which enables robots to perform various tasks in the industrial environment. (science and technology innovation board Daily)Japanese and Korean stock markets opened higher, with the Nikkei 225 index rising 0.55% to 39,375.49 points. South Korea's KOSPI index rose 1% to 2,384.51 points.


In November, the annual rate of M2 money supply in Japan was 1.2%, and the previous value was 1.20%. M3 annual rate is 0.7%.Foreign media: Hungarian Prime Minister Orban posted that he met with Trump and Musk at Haihu Manor. According to CNN and Russian Tass News Agency on the 9th, Hungarian Prime Minister Orban went to the United States at the invitation of President-elect Trump, and met with Trump at Haihu Manor in Florida. American billionaire Musk also attended the talks. According to the report, Orban posted on social media X on the 9th: "America today. The future has begun! One afternoon at Haihu Manor with Trump, Musk and Mike Valcz (appointed by Trump as US National Security Adviser-Editor's Note). " (World Wide Web)Debon Securities: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in the fields of liquor, beer and leisure snacks. Debon Securities Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: The dealer conference will set the tone for next year, giving priority to the opportunities of low-value leading layout. Recently, wine companies have intensively held dealer meetings to set the tone for next year's growth. At present, wine enterprises are generally rational and pragmatic, and reasonable speed reduction reduces the burden on channels. With a series of economic policies, the consumption of enterprises and residents is expected to pick up in 2025. The competitiveness of head enterprises has been further enhanced through continuous evolution, so it is suggested to grasp the investment opportunities with low expectations at present. 2) Beer: The overall performance of the third quarterly report is under pressure due to the weak recovery of demand and weather, but it is expected that the ton price of major beer enterprises will maintain a steady and rising trend throughout the year. With the introduction of a series of policies to stimulate consumption, terminal demand is expected to improve, and the recovery of ready-to-drink scenes such as catering is expected to promote the upgrading and continuation of beer structure. 3) Leisure snacks: The performance of leisure snack enterprises is further differentiated, and the performance of high-potential targets is optimistic in the peak season. In the third quarter, the performance of leisure and snack enterprises was divided, and the growth toughness of high-potential enterprises remained the same. The follow-up Spring Festival peak season is expected to bring the possibility of exceeding expectations. At present, the level of income profit rate of head enterprises is expected to remain stable.

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